ATP Underdog EV

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Upcoming ATP matches on Polymarket with expected value for the underdog vs. consensus bookmaker odds.

Open cards on:

Odds fetched: 1:40 AM EDT

EV vs consensus for:

Tournament:

Some consensus odds filled from Odds-API.io Bet365 (primary source missing lines).

The Odds API supplement unavailable (Odds API quota exhausted); some fixtures may lack a consensus line.

Filled 4 odds-less fixture(s) from free-tier APIs (sharp=65).

Refreshing odds in the background; showing the most recent data.

Grodzisk MazowieckiToday · 11:00 AMPolymarket
Andrea Guerrieri
28, Rank 215
Favorite
58.5%
1.71
bet365 1.66
Pinnacle 1.66
XGB 40.3%
Daniil Glinka
26, Rank 169
Underdog
41.5%
2.41
bet365 2.10
Pinnacle 2.30
XGB 59.7%
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 43.1% · Polymarket 41.5%
+3.8%
All bookmaker odds (12)
XGB · top features
Grodzisk MazowieckiToday · 11:00 AMPolymarket
Joel Schwaerzler
Favorite
59.5%
1.68
bet365 1.66
Pinnacle 1.68
XGB 59.7%
Mathys Erhard
25, Rank 383
Underdog
40.5%
2.47
bet365 2.10
Pinnacle 2.27
XGB 40.3%
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 43.0% · Polymarket 40.5%
+6.2%
All bookmaker odds (12)
XGB · top features
Istanbul 2 (Turkey)Today · 12:00 PMPolymarket
Ilia Simakin
23, Rank 294
Favorite
62.5%
1.60
bet365 1.50
Pinnacle 1.56
XGB 69.1%
Antoine Ghibaudo
21, Rank 349
Underdog
37.5%
2.67
bet365 2.50
Pinnacle 2.52
XGB 30.9%
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 38.8% · Polymarket 37.5%
+3.4%
All bookmaker odds (10)
XGB · top features
HagenToday · 12:00 PMPolymarket
J. Kym
23, Rank 194
Favorite
62.6%
Consensus
bet365 1.44
Pinnacle 1.56
XGB 63.5%
E. Moller
23, Rank 190
Underdog
37.4%
Consensus
bet365 2.62
Pinnacle 2.55
XGB 36.5%
Underdog EV vs consensus
Not available on Polymarket
—
All bookmaker odds (11)
XGB · top features
HagenToday · 1:30 PMPolymarket
Zsombor Piros
27, Rank 122
Favorite
64.5%
1.55
bet365 1.50
Pinnacle 1.50
XGB 70.1%
Tom Gentzsch
23, Rank 186
Underdog
35.5%
2.82
bet365 2.50
Pinnacle 2.71
XGB 29.9%
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 36.8% · Polymarket 35.5%
+3.8%
All bookmaker odds (10)
XGB · top features
Istanbul 2 (Turkey)Today · 2:00 PMPolymarket
Lucas Poullain
31, Rank 439
Favorite
61.5%
1.63
bet365 1.53
Pinnacle 1.57
XGB 58.4%
Gijs Brouwer
30, Rank 1146
Underdog
38.5%
2.60
bet365 2.37
Pinnacle 2.48
XGB 41.6%
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 39.4% · Polymarket 38.5%
+2.4%
All bookmaker odds (9)
XGB · top features
Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria)Today · 3:00 PMPolymarket
Carlos Sanchez Jover
26, Rank 374
Favorite
52.5%
1.90
bet365 1.83
Pinnacle 1.84
XGB 60.7%
Gabriele Piraino
23, Rank 402
Underdog
47.5%
2.11
bet365 1.83
Pinnacle 2.02
XGB 39.3%
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 48.3% · Polymarket 47.5%
+1.8%
All bookmaker odds (12)
XGB · top features
MontrealToday · 4:30 PMPolymarket
Nuno Borges
29, Rank 49
Favorite
60.5%
1.65
bet365 1.57
Pinnacle 1.62
XGB 36.2%
Luciano Darderi
24, Rank 23
Underdog
39.5%
2.53
bet365 2.37
Pinnacle 2.42
XGB 63.8%
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 40.2% · Polymarket 39.5%
+1.8%
All bookmaker odds (14)
XGB · top features
Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria)Today · 5:00 PMPolymarket
Radu Mihai Papoe
Favorite
59.5%
1.68
bet365 1.66
XGB 57.5%
Petr Nesterov
23, Rank 360
Underdog
40.5%
2.47
bet365 2.10
XGB 42.5%
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 44.1% · Polymarket 40.5%
+9.0%
All bookmaker odds (2)
XGB · top features
MontrealToday · 6:00 PMPolymarket
Brandon Nakashima
25, Rank 33
Favorite
67.5%
1.48
bet365 1.44
Pinnacle 1.46
XGB 72.1%
Arthur Rinderknech
31, Rank 28
Underdog
32.5%
3.08
bet365 2.75
Pinnacle 2.95
XGB 27.9%
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 33.9% · Polymarket 32.5%
+4.3%
All bookmaker odds (14)
XGB · top features
LexingtonToday · 7:00 PMPolymarket
Edas Butvilas
22, Rank 250
Favorite
53.5%
1.87
bet365 1.83
Pinnacle 1.81
XGB 73.1%
Dusan Lajovic
36, Rank 152
Underdog
46.5%
2.15
bet365 1.83
Pinnacle 2.05
XGB 26.9%
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 48.4% · Polymarket 46.5%
+4.1%
All bookmaker odds (11)
XGB · top features
LexingtonToday · 7:00 PMPolymarket
Spencer Johnson
23, Rank 529
Favorite
64.5%
1.55
bet365 1.61
Pinnacle 1.50
XGB 57.4%
Andre Ilagan
26, Rank 248
Underdog
35.5%
2.82
bet365 2.20
Pinnacle 2.68
XGB 42.6%
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 38.5% · Polymarket 35.5%
+8.4%
All bookmaker odds (11)
XGB · top features
MontrealToday · 10:00 PMPolymarket
Rafael Jodar
20, Rank 24
Favorite
53.5%
1.87
bet365 1.72
Pinnacle 1.89
XGB 47.9%
Jiri Lehecka
25, Rank 12
Underdog
46.5%
2.15
bet365 2.10
Pinnacle 2.01
XGB 52.1%
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 47.7% · Polymarket 46.5%
+2.6%
All bookmaker odds (14)
XGB · top features
MontrealToday · 11:30 PMPolymarket
Arthur Fils
22, Rank 22
Favorite
69.5%
1.44
bet365 1.40
Pinnacle 1.40
XGB 73.8%
Cameron Norrie
31, Rank 39
Underdog
30.5%
3.28
bet365 3.00
Pinnacle 3.18
XGB 26.2%
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 31.8% · Polymarket 30.5%
+4.2%
All bookmaker odds (14)
XGB · top features
MontrealMon, Aug 10 · 2:00 PMPolymarket
Tallon Griekspoor
30, Rank 67
Favorite
57.0%
1.75
XGB 60.0%
Daniel Merida Aguilar
22, Rank 61
Underdog
43.0%
2.33
XGB 40.0%
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 44.4% · Polymarket 43.0%
+3.3%
All bookmaker odds (2)
XGB · top features
MontrealMon, Aug 10 · 2:00 PMPolymarket
Jakub Mensik
21, Rank 17
Favorite
74.0%
1.35
XGB 79.6%
Botic van de Zandschulp
31, Rank 69
Underdog
26.0%
3.85
XGB 20.4%
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 31.2% · Polymarket 26.0%
+20.1%
All bookmaker odds (1)
XGB · top features
MontrealMon, Aug 10 · 2:00 PMPolymarket
Ben Shelton
24, Rank 8
Favorite
50.5%
1.98
XGB 71.6%
Joao Fonseca
20, Rank 27
Underdog
49.5%
2.02
XGB 28.4%
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 46.3% · Polymarket 49.5%
-6.4%
All bookmaker odds (1)
XGB · top features
MontrealMon, Aug 10 · 2:00 PMPolymarket
Learner Tien
21, Rank 16
Favorite
67.5%
1.48
XGB 76.4%
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Underdog
32.5%
3.08
XGB 23.6%
Underdog EV vs consensus
Fair 28.3% · Polymarket 32.5%
-12.9%
All bookmaker odds (1)
XGB · top features